You need to ask not whether this idea will fail, let alone whether it could fail, but rather, ‘what would it be if it worked?’ You need, in a sense, to ‘suspend disbelief’ - to put aside your normal human risk-aversion and skepticism, accept the probability that it could go to zero, and ask if this could 'put a dent in the world', and if so, how big.
Read MoreAfter a decade in which phones swallowed physical objects, with cameras, radios, music players and so on turned into apps, AR might turn those apps back into physical objects - virtual ones, of course. On one hand cameras digitise everything, and on the other AR puts things back into the world.
Read MoreThe platform wars and over and Apple and Google both won. So, what's the score, how many smartphones and tablet are out there, and what should we think about next?
Read More“A fox knows many things, but a hedgehog one important thing”. A few big ideas - internet, mobile, smartphones, social - have given us billion-user scale - now we see many new things built on top of those.
Read MoreEverything bad and complicated that the internet did to media is going to happen to retail. As, just as Facebook shapes so much of what we read online, what channels will shape and reshape what we buy?
Read MoreAs machine learning starts working, how does that change Google, Apple and the smartphone interface? What companies get reshaped around machine learning?
Read MoreContent is moving from the open web to proprietary platforms - Facebook, Google, Snapchat and others - that give both new ways to get users and new formats to curate content. Far more video, far richer ways to show content, video as the new HTML (or the new Flash), and new metrics and dynamics.
Read MoreNotes on what's happened, what's happening now and what will happen next.
Read More"'The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history and to try and catch on to his coattails as he marches past'. How inevitable is technology, and how much is luck and great leadership?
Read MoreAs mobile starts to move towards saturation, what's next? Cars? AI? And where's the Dell of mobile?
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